HOME > INQUIRER > Article

Text Size

small

medium

large


Chokehold of maritime trade route seen as aim of China aggression

Chokehold of maritime trade route seen as aim of China aggression

Provided by INQUIRER.net.

Chokehold of maritime trade route seen as aim of China aggression
SOUTH CHINA SEA composite image from Inquirer file and stock photos



MANILA, Philippines — China’s aggression in the South China Sea is pointing to its intention of asserting control over the area not only for its resources, but also for the economic and military leverages it could give.

For geopolitical expert Don McLain Gill, China’s long-term goal has always been “to dominate both sides of the Indo-Pacific,” a region that stands at the forefront of global strategic interests.

But to take over the region, the South China Sea has to be controlled first, considering its geographic location, he told INQUIRER.net in an interview on Monday, Aug. 4.

“There is a clear intent to operationalize an exclusionary policy that would keep particularly Western countries outside or at bay so that China can ensure that it has the upper hand for sea control in the area,” he said.

But how?

As pointed out by Gill, who is teaching international relations at the De La Salle University, “one of the major incentives for a more assertive sea control over the South China Sea is to dominate the maritime trade routes.”

READ: Silence not an option as China encroachment persists

 

Based on data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA), the South China Sea, aside from having billions to trillions worth of proven and probable oil and gas reserves, is also a critical world trade route.

Chokehold of maritime trade route seen as aim of China aggression



Chokehold of maritime trade route seen as aim of China aggression
GRAPHIC: Ed Lustan/INQUIRER.net



It stated that in 2023, 10 billion barrels of petroleum and petroleum products, as well as 6.7 trillion cubic feet of liquefied natural gas, passed through the South China Sea.

RELATED STORY: The missing piece of South China Sea puzzle

 

Everyday, almost 30 million barrels of petroleum and petroleum products shipped worldwide traverse the sea, which stretches from Singapore and the Strait of Malacca in the southwest to the Strait of Taiwan in the northeast.

This, as out of the 76 million barrels of petroleum and petroleum products that were moved via maritime transport a day in 2023, 37 percent passed through the South China Sea.

Chokehold of maritime trade route seen as aim of China aggression
GRAPHIC: Ed Lustan/INQUIRER.net



As the US EIA pointed out, slightly over 50 percent of the oil shipments that traversed the South China Sea came from the Middle East at 52 percent; Asia-Pacific at 23 percent, and the Americas at 11 percent.

It is clear that the sea is a critical world trade route, comprising 21 percent, or $3.4 trillion, of global trade in 2016, with China accounting for one-third, then Japan, Germany, the US, and India.

READ: China invasion of West Philippine Sea: Root of all evil is access to oil, gas

 

Gill explained that dominating this maritime trade route, as well as the sea lines of communication, is really essential for China, especially now that energy security and maritime trade shape China’s economic clout.

Chokehold of maritime trade route seen as aim of China aggression
GRAPHIC: Ed Lustan/INQUIRER.net



 

This, as based on the latest World Fleet Register of Clarksons Research, China now operates the world’s largest commercial fleet in tonnage at 258.8 m.GT, or million gross tonnage, against Greece’s 250.6 m.GT.

The US only came fifth with 66.7 m.GT, next to South Korea at 67 m.GT and Japan at 183.3 m.GT, with Clarksons Research saying that most of China’s fleet are bulk carriers and non-cargo vessels.

As pointed out in a report by the Global Times the trend “significantly enhances China’s competitiveness in international trade” because “a strong commercial fleet is improving China’s cargo transport capacity and reducing logistics costs.”

But once China succeeds in taking over the South China Sea and eventually exert control over the maritime trade route, “the consequences would be immense,” said defense and security experts Wilson Beaver and Maria Victoria Vasquez.

As they stated in a column, the economic significance of the South China Sea cannot be overstated, stressing that as one of the busiest maritime routes in the world, it serves as a vital artery for international trade.

RELATED STORY: China’s espionage: Understanding why they could be everywhere

 

This is why a negative control by China would have serious consequences – a possible choke off of trade and shipment to Japan, control of access to technologies crucial to US economic activities, and project power deep into the Pacific.

“Any disruption to the free passage of ships through these waters would have far-reaching consequences for the global economy, affecting not only the countries directly involved in the dispute but also the broader international community.”

But there’s more.

China is expected to be in the advantage not only because it can choke international trade, but also because its commercial fleet can act as a critical supplement in case of war.

For instance, Admiral Samuel Paparo, who is leading the US Indo-Pacific Command, admitted that the current state of the civilian mariner sector is a weakness for the US should a conflict with China break out.

READ: China’s West Philippine Sea gray zone tactics: It’s still war

 

“I believe that the current size and scope of the US merchant fleet is a vulnerability. I believe that we have a force that’s sized for efficiency, but has not been examined from the standpoint of effectiveness under fire,” he had told the US Senate.

This has been highlighted in a column by US Coast Guard officials Jeremy Greenwood and Emily Miletello, who stated that “even with the world’s most dominant Navy, access to a US flagged commercial fleet is critical to our national security.”

RELATED STORY: Chinese ship possibly on intel mission off PH island

 

As outlined by the White House in the 1989 National Defense Directive on Sealift, a commercial fleet is “essential both to executing this country’s forward defense strategy and to maintaining a wartime economy.”

It said it is needed to build surge capacity to “ensure that sufficient military and civil maritime resources will be available to meet defense deployment and essential economic requirements in support of our national security strategy.”

 

To read a full story, please click here to find out how to subscribe.

INQUIRER

HEADLINES

POLITICS
TICAD 9 to Start in Yokohama on Wed. to Discuss Aid for African Countries
ECONOMY
Taiwan's Hon Hai, Japan's SoftBank to Jointly Make Data Center Equipment in Ohio
SPORTS
Women's Tennis: Japan's Uchijima Loses in 1st Round of Cleveland Championships
OTHER
3-Year Prison Term Sought for Ex-Kadokawa Chairman over Tokyo Games Bribery

AFP-JIJI PRESS NEWS JOURNAL


Photos